Product, Service, or Result Factors
Degree of Innovation
- Well-known or routine work → Predictive.
- New, experimental, or innovative work → Adaptive.
Requirements Certainty
- Clear, stable, and fixed requirements → Predictive.
- Unclear or evolving requirements → Adaptive.
Scope Stability
- Stable and unlikely to change → Predictive.
- Flexible or prone to frequent changes → Adaptive.
Ease of Change
- Difficult or costly to implement changes → Predictive.
- Easy and frequent changes expected → Adaptive.
Delivery Options
- Deliverable must be completed as a whole → Predictive.
- Deliverable can be released in parts (MVP, iterations) → Adaptive/Iterative/Incremental.
Risk Level
- High-risk, requiring detailed planning → Predictive.
- Moderate risk with flexibility to adjust → Adaptive.
Safety Requirements
- Critical safety needs (e.g., pharma, aviation) → Predictive for strict control.
Regulatory Compliance
- Heavily regulated industries → Predictive, ensuring documentation and audits.
Project-Specific Factors
Stakeholder Involvement
- Minimal involvement after initial planning → Predictive.
- Continuous feedback and collaboration required → Adaptive.
Schedule Constraints
- Fixed deadlines with one-time delivery → Predictive.
- Need for early/partial releases or fast value delivery → Adaptive/Iterative.
Funding Availability
- Well-defined, upfront budget → Predictive.
- Uncertain or incremental funding → Adaptive, allowing MVPs and staged investment.
Organizational Factors
Structure
- Hierarchical, layered organizations → Predictive fits better.
- Flat, flexible, and empowered teams → Adaptive thrives.
Culture
- Emphasis on control, documentation, and planning → Predictive.
- Encouragement of autonomy, collaboration, and flexibility → Adaptive.
Organizational Capability
- Transitioning to agile requires training, tools, and cultural change — adopting Adaptive is more than just a declaration.
Team Size and Location
- Large, distributed teams → Predictive tends to work better.
- Small, co-located teams (ideally 5–9 members) → Adaptive supports collaboration and agility.
👉 In short
- Predictive = Stability, control, heavy planning, and compliance.
- Adaptive = Flexibility, innovation, frequent delivery, and stakeholder engagement.
- Hybrid = A balance of both, depending on project needs.